Weekly Brazos River Outlook – May 10, 2024

As of 8:15 AM on May 10, 2024, the Brazos River in Richmond
is in Action Stage and is currently at Gage Elevation 44.95 feet and rising.
According to the 8:24 AM forecast, the Brazos River through Richmond will enter
Minor Flood Stage later this morning and crest around Gage Elevation 45.3 feet
late tonight into Saturday morning. Because of the River forecast, the NWS has
expanded the Flood Warning to include the Brazos River through Fort Bend
County. Looking further upstream, the Brazos River through Hempstead has fallen
1.2 feet since it crested yesterday around noon. The San Felipe Gage appears to
be near it’s crest. It is currently at Gage Elevation 118.47 with a crest of
118.5’. Based on the forecasts, we should also see the Brazos River near FM
1489 crest later today.  

Based on the latest NWS Forecast, much of the region could see heavy rainfall occurring Sunday into Monday. During that time rainfall amounts of 2-4 inches are possible with isolated higher amounts in localized areas. Rainfall rates could trigger Flash Flood conditions in areas. After Sunday/Monday, the region should see a short break from rain on Tuesday and Wednesday before additional rain potentially moves through the region toward the middle to end of next week. The Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF)
is showing the lower Brazos River Watershed receiving between 2 to 3 inches of
rain over the next 7 days. As mentioned, the majority of this could occur
Sunday into Monday.  Based on the current forecast, no major flooding due
to the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated; however, low
laying areas could be impacted especially if flash flood conditions develop.


Please note, forecasts and conditions can change. Everyone is encouraged to stay weather aware by following their favorite local weather source, including the National Weather
and the West Gulf River Forecast Center. If you have not ready done so, please remember to sign up for Emergency Updates from Fort Bend County.


Based on the current forecast, the District could move into emergency operations. The District’s team is continuing to monitor conditions along the Brazos River and within the District and is ready to respond as needed. The District continues to operate its pumps as needed to maximize the volume of storage within the lakes. Please note that activity around the pump station is normal during this time when the Brazos River is elevated and rain is in the forecast. If residents have any concerns, please contact the District

See Flood Risk Assessment Attached