Weekly Brazos River Outlook – May 11, 2024

As of 1:15 PM on May 11, 2024, the Brazos River in Richmond
is in Minor Flood Stage and is currently at Gage Elevation 45.63 feet. Based on the gage data, the Brazos River through Richmond appears to be cresting. According to the 1: 29 PM forecast, the Brazos River through Richmond should fall below Minor Flood Stage on Sunday. How quickly the Brazos River falls will depend on the amount of rain received over the next 48 hours. Below is a summary of the gages from Hempstead downstream.

The NWS continues to show heavy rainfall potential for the lower Brazos River Watershed and the Region from Sunday into Monday. During that time, the Lower Brazos River watershed could receive rainfall amounts of 2-3 inches with isolated higher amounts in localized areas. Based on the forecast, the heaviest rain continues to be located upstream of I-10. After Sunday/Monday, the region should see a short break from rain on Tuesday and
Wednesday before additional rain potentially moves through the region toward the middle to end of next week. The Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) is showing the lower Brazos River Watershed receiving between 1 to 3 inches of rain over the next 7 days. Based on the current forecast, no major flooding due to the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated; however, low laying areas could be impacted and drainage facilities could take longer to drain out than usual.

 Please note, forecasts and conditions can change. Everyone is encouraged to stay weather aware by following their favorite local weather source, including the National Weather

Service and the West Gulf River Forecast Center. If you have not ready done so, please remember to sign up for Emergency Updates from Fort Bend County.

Based on the rainfall potential, the District anticipates having personnel at the District’s Pump Station on Sunday to start pump operations. All four of the District’s stormwater pumps were recently tested and all four will be available for this event. Depending on how much rainfall the District receives, the residents could see elevated water levels in the lakes. Please note that activity around the pump station is normal during this

time when the Brazos River is elevated and rain is in the forecast. The District
understands residents could be curious about the operation of the pump station
and levee; however, the District asks all residents to keep out of the District’s pump station. Please allow the operations team to focus on flood fighting. If residents have any concerns or questions, please contact the District at https://fbclid14.org/contact/.

See Flood Risk Assessment Attached